Imperfect Information Blog

Covering the latest Syncopation Software news, DPL modeling tips and best practices, and Decision Analysis in the media

Fault Trees can help break down cyber security threats in order to identify critical system vulnerabilities

If you build and train a model that explains observations under one set of rules, and then you change the rules, the parameters in your model are probably wrong

Nobel prize winner Ben Bernanke has written about real options

A parametric Excel spreadsheet is set up to allow key parameters and assumptions to be changed without invalidating the underlying calculations, making scenario analysis a breeze