DPL: Decision Tree Software for Robust Decision Analysis
This DPL Decision Tree Model analyzes a decision of whether to develop a pharmaceutical drug
given the uncertainties surrounding technical/regulatory hurdles, market factors, and potential value.
DPL offers an intuitive, easy-to-use decision tree modeling environment that provides analysts with a comprehensive set of robust decision framing and analysis tools. These combined with reliable Excel spreadsheet linking support can help provide you with the insights necessary to make the best, most informed strategic decisions for your organization. It is a complete decision analysis solution that supports the entire process from decision framing to confident action.
Best-in-Class Decision Tree Software
DPL 9 is an intuitive, graphical decision tree software that provides insights that lead to better decision qualityTry a FREE DPL 9 Trial
Decision Problem Framing
A DPL model is a unique combination of a Decision Tree and an Influence Diagram, allowing you the ability to build scalable, intuitive decision analytic models that precisely reflect your real-world problem.
Decision trees are a powerful tool -- but can be unwieldy, complex, and difficult to display. When complemented with an Influence Diagram, you've got a powerful combination for aptly visualizing and analyzing virtually any decision problem.
Influence Diagram: depicts the main factors, represented by nodes, and the relationships between those factors most relevant to the decision
Decision Tree: articulates the formal structure and chronology of how the decision and uncertainties will unfold over time
DPL is a standalone application that can integrate closely with Excel, providing the best of both words: a full featured graphical modeling interface paired with a familiar Excel environment that can efficiently deal with data and financial calculations.
You can build your decision tree model first and then set up Excel links or quickly build a DPL model from an established cash flow spreadsheet in just a few clicks. You can also create a local DPL model by keeping all the calculations wholly within DPL. It's up to you!
Another powerful feature that is unique to DPL is its ability to convert Excel spreadsheets to its native expression language. This dramatically improves analytic performance -- typically by a factor of 10 to 100. You can develop your value/financial model in Excel and convert it within DPL to quickly run the analyses required to reach a decision.
As mentioned above, one can easily build a DPL model from an Excel cash flow spreadsheet. Starting with this basic model you can conduct sensitivity analyses to determine which variables have the biggest impact on value and decisions. As you build out the model -- you'll likely want to treat the variables with the most impact probabilistically by changing them into chance nodes.
Through several types of tornado diagrams, DPL can help you build insight and prioritize your focus on what matters most for any type of model. For a more detailed sensitivity analysis DPL also offers one and two-way Rainbow Diagrams.
DPL Results & Outputs
Syncopation understands that a decision tree and ensuing analysis will only lead to action if the results can be understood and explained to the project team and stakeholders -- which is why DPL offers a broad range of attractive and presentation-ready results that will provide you (and laymen) with maximum insight into the model results.
Policy TreeTM: an unfiltered output tree that identifies the winning strategy and provides a complete picture of all the possible scenarios of the model. It can be leveraged as a strategic road map for making the best, most-informed decisions and managing value now and in future scenarios.
Risk Profile: also known as a cumulative probability distribution, the Risk Profile output visually describes the range and likelihood of outcomes in your decision model. Multiple Risk Profiles datasets can be compared within a single chart so you can better understand the relative risks of all the decision alternatives on the table.
Who uses DPL?
DPL isn't designed for a single industry vertical or decision-problem. For over 25 years DPL has been helping industry leading organizations make profitable decisions within a wide variety of industries, including Pharmaceutical, Oil & Gas, Electric and Utilities, Consumer Products, Mining & Energy, and the Aerospace and Defense sectors. See how DPL is leveraged to make good decisions and solve real world problems: