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DPL PROFESSIONAL |
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DPL 7 Professional includes powerful tools for handling in-depth, real-world
models and making sense of the often-complex results. Experienced analysts
will appreciate its depth, comprehensiveness and refinement.
This page summarizes the key features of the Professional version of DPL 7.
DPL Professional also has all of the functionality of
DPL Standard.
Click on any of the images below to see a full-size screen shot.
Time series percentiles
Often it is important to not only know the degree of risk you are taking in a venture
but how that risk evolves over time. Time Series Percentiles provide you with a view
of how the uncertainty in key performance measures such as free cash flow change during
the life of a project.
Multiple attributes
DPL Professional allows you to define multiple attributes. These may be different
value measures (for example, cost, jobs, environmental contamination), or different
metrics in a financial framework (NPV, IRR, earnings, etc.). You can obtain a full
risk profile on any (or all) of the attributes.
Arrays and series in the influence diagram
DPL Professional allows you to define one- and two-dimensional array value nodes as well
as simple scalars. Array value nodes can be very convenient when linking to Excel
spreadsheets where the assumptions to be tested are rows or ranges rather than
single cells.
The Endpoint Database™
With DPL's Endpoint Database™, you can record the values of all the attributes
at each endpoint (leaf node). Once recorded, the database can be replayed, without
costly recalculation of a linked spreadsheet, even if the DPL model has been changed. You
only need to perform a full recalculation when you change the spreadsheet or increase
the number of endpoints (e.g., by adding chance nodes).
Option value charts
DPL users interested in real options have long produced
"waterfall" charts showing the incremental value of flexibility ("options value") for
the downstream decisions ("real options") in a decision tree. DPL produces this
output for you automatically.
Advanced tornado diagrams
DPL Professional includes Event tornado diagrams. Unlike simple Base Case or Value
tornadoes, Event tornadoes make full use of probabilities and even conditional
relationships in the influence diagram, to give you a more complete picture of the
contribution of individual uncertainties to overall risk.
DPL programs and Excel spreadsheet conversion
Drag and drop model building is the way to go for the vast majority of decision
models. Still, some difficult problems cry out for the power of a text-based
modelling environment. DPL Professional gives you the option.
While most DPL users don't write DPL programs, DPL Professional has a unique
facility for translating Excel spreadsheets into DPL's language. A decision
model linked to a converted spreadsheet may run 10 or even 100 times faster than
one linked to a live spreadsheet recalculated by Excel.
Scenario risk profiles
Have you ever gestured at a branch in the Policy Tree&Trade; and wondered how much
downside risk remained from that point onward? With DPL Professional, the answer to
that question is just two clicks away. DPL can produce a risk profile starting from
any point in the policy tree (that is, assuming the events to the left of that point
are fixed in the states that lead there).
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